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VOL. 8, ISSUE 4 (2026)
Geoeconomic fragmentation and the restructuring of Vietnam's trade dependencies
Authors
Tran Thi Tuyet Nhung
Abstract
Geoeconomic fragmentation is reshaping
international trade by intensifying strategic competition and restructuring
global production networks. This article examines how these transformations
affect Vietnam's trade dependencies, particularly the relationship between
export market diversification and structural dependence on foreign inputs,
investment, and technology. Drawing on international political economy, global
value chain theory, and weaponized interdependence, the study employs a
qualitative approach supported by official trade statistics and secondary
empirical evidence. The findings reveal a dual pattern of dependence,
characterized by Vietnam's substantial reliance on the United States as an
export market and China as a major source of imports. The dominance of
foreign-invested enterprises further highlights structural asymmetries within
Vietnam's export-oriented development model. Nevertheless, evidence of genuine
production relocation and increasing domestic value added suggests that trade
restructuring also creates opportunities for industrial upgrading. The article
argues that geoeconomic fragmentation produces dependency reconfiguration
rather than complete economic decoupling. It contributes a multidimensional
framework for understanding trade vulnerability and emphasizes domestic
supplier development, technological upgrading, supply-chain diversification,
and institutional resilience as essential foundations for strengthening
Vietnam's economic autonomy.
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Pages:35-39
How to cite this article:
Tran Thi Tuyet Nhung "Geoeconomic fragmentation and the restructuring of Vietnam's trade dependencies". International Journal of Sociology and Political Science, Vol 8, Issue 4, 2026, Pages 35-39
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